Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.085071 1.310783 1.550532 1.822182 2.119556 2.433478 2.788232
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.832580 1.149085 1.508974 1.940255 2.435517 2.979811 3.616840
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.708239 1.074506 1.510687 2.052183 2.691910 3.411108 4.268937
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.612878 1.017120 1.519305 2.162070 2.939500 3.829543 4.906945
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.514389 0.937052 1.484827 2.206603 3.098597 4.136455 5.409039
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.420259 0.847703 1.426913 2.212571 3.203863 4.374895 5.827840
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.320512 0.733337 1.323005 2.149203 3.215179 4.494620 6.101456
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.240346 0.633479 1.227448 2.087135 3.220421 4.601078 6.354486
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.183233 0.559146 1.159200 2.054050 3.256405 4.740234 6.642638
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.151068 0.522318 1.141871 2.087209 3.375531 4.980463 7.052209
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.119595 0.479342 1.110414 2.097167 3.461874 5.178356 7.409391
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.087295 0.425057 1.055141 2.068794 3.494205 5.306208 7.679202
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.082197 0.435437 1.111233 2.210641 3.766539 5.752402 8.360445
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.075385 0.440336 1.158520 2.341194 4.026453 6.186689 9.032261
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.068872 0.443961 1.202599 2.466335 4.278661 6.611031 9.691842
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.062605 0.446551 1.244406 2.588253 4.527217 7.031938 10.348996
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049530 0.424120 1.239346 2.637727 4.675369 7.323480 10.844993
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035045 0.389208 1.207877 2.644320 4.762635 7.535556 11.241260
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018967 0.333264 1.130031 2.574022 4.739130 7.601402 11.452062
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008461 0.283265 1.056316 2.505069 4.713698 7.661906 11.653865
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003212 0.247140 1.005158 2.468280 4.730602 7.775057 11.919443
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001430 0.232655 0.999051 2.505151 4.853575 8.028955 12.365041
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000285 0.212948 0.978506 2.516219 4.938092 8.231213 12.744532